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CAIRN INDIA LTD                                               FUNDAMENTAL

BUY                          Target Price Rs 277             STOCK
 Value Parameters
 BSE Code                                   532792           globally diversified natural resources group with
 NSE Symbol                                CAIRN             wide ranging interests in aluminium, copper, zinc,
 CMP (As on 30th Nov, 2016)                  Rs 247          lead, silver, iron ore, etc. Through its affiliates,
 Face Value                                                  Cairn India has been operating for close to 20 years
 52 Week High/Low                             Rs 10          playing an active role in developing India's oil and
 Market Cap (Rs cr)                       259/107            gas resources. Cairn India has opened 4 frontier
 EPS (Rs) (FY16)                                             basins with over 40 discoveries, 31 in Rajasthan
 TTM PE ratio (x)                            47,440          alone.
                                               -50.3
                                                 0.0         Cairn India has a portfolio of 9 blocks - one block
                                                             in Rajasthan, which contains multiple assets, two
Shareholding Pattern % (Sep’ 16)                             on the west coast and four on the east coast of
                                                             India and one each in Sri Lanka and South Africa.
Company Overview                                             Oil and gas is currently being produced from
                                                             Rajasthan, Ravva and Cambay.
Cairn India is one of the largest independent oil and gas
exploration and production company in India. Cairn India     During June 2010, Cairn India and ONGC, the
was rated as the fastest-growing energy company in the       70:30 joint venture partners in the Rajasthan Block,
world, as per 2012 and 2013 Platts Top 250 Global Energy     RJ-ON-90/1, commenced sales through the world's
Company Rankings.                                            longest continuously heated and insulated crude
Cairn India operates around 30% of India's domestic crude    oil pipeline.
oil production. Cairn India is part of the Vedanta Group, a
                                                             Investment Rationale
                                                             §	 Cairn India, through its initiatives like EOR,

                                                                  reservoir management has continued to arrest the
                                                                  natural decline in wells and reported additional
                                                                  volumes.

                                                             §	 The company has been able to maintain its cost
                                                                  optimization. As on Q2FY17 water flood and
                                                                  blended operating cost at Rajasthan reduced to
                                                                  $3.9/boe and $5.8/boe respectively. For EOR, the
                                                                  cost optimization has lowered development and
                                                                  operating costs leading to better IRR projections.

                                                             §	 The revised Cairn-Vedanta deal has been
                                                                  approved by the respective shareholders and
                                                                  new ratio will give incremental benefit of Rs 30
                                                                  per share for Cairn India shareholders.

                                                             §	 The company commissioned its Salaya Bhogat
                                                                  Pipeline storage terminal & marine export
                                                                  facilities at Bhogat, which shall give it an access
                                                                  to larger market for crude oil from Rajasthan
                                                                  Block.

                                                             Concern
                                                             §	 The company has its business activities related

                                                                  to exploration and production of oil & gas and
                                                                  is sensitive to crude oil prices.

                                                             Valuations

                                                             At CMP of Rs 247 per share the stock trades at P/B
                                                             multiple of 0.9 (x). The company has a dividend
                                                             yield of 1.2% and we have “BUY” rating on the
                                                             stock with a fair value of Rs 277 per share.

                                                                                      4 ARIHANT CAPITAL ¡ DECEMBER 2016
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